Originally posted by Michael J. Miller, on PC Magazine
CES is such a big show that there's never enough time to see everything, or to write about it all. Since the show earlier this month, I've discussed my opinions on some of the big trends: Every product is trying to be "smart," with Amazon Alexa and Google Assistant winning the battle for orchestrating the smart home. 8K TVs are becoming real, but display companies are making strong progress on what's happening after LCD. 5G was talked about a lot, but really didn't happen at the show. New processors and graphics are setting the stage for 2019's PCs, while laptops are highlighted by better gaming machines and much smaller, thinner 2-in-1s.
But there are always more things to consider. Indeed, the Consumer Technology Association, which puts on CES each year, predicts that Americans will spend $398 billion on consumer tech in 2019. CTA VP for Market Research Steve Koenig highlighted some of the big general trends from underlying ingredient technology, such as AI and 5G, to specific products in the market, such as digital assistants and AR/VR. (See the slide at the top of the story.)
Here are some of the other trends that stood out to me:
In many ways, 2018 was a disappointing year for VR. Though devices such as the Sony PlayStation VR, Oculus Go and the HTC Vive Pro were decent sellers, the promise that VR would become a mainstream platform is still years out. In part, that's because the hardware just isn't good enough.
Similarly, augmented reality glasses don't seem really consumer friendly yet, but they do seem to be finding a niche in business, and I saw a number of intriguing demos with Microsoft Hololens and Magic Leap. For instance, at Intel's booth, I was able to try a demo where two Magic Leap users collaborated to put back together a broken drone. The display looked pretty good, with a broader field of view than HoloLens, but there's still quite a way to go. Microsoft has scheduled a press conference later this month where we expect to see something new in this area, and Magic Leap is on its commercial product, though neither had an announcement at the show.
I was also pretty impressed by Kopin's Golden-I Infinity headset, in part because it seems extremely lightweight (if not as ambitious as some of the others). The company is working on a wide array of lens for AR and VR, including a 2K by 2K OLED lens that can show a 2K by 2K image in each eye, with a wider field of view.
There were reports of other interesting AR headsets at the show—notably the Nreal Light and the RealMax Qian—but unfortunately, I wasn't able to see these. (CES is a big show.)
With computers and phones getting faster, and networks doing more, every year the standards need to be increased to support faster connections and to improve security. This year's CES saw a few notable improvements.
The USB Implementer's Forum launched a new authentication program for the USB-C standard, which brings in cryptographics-based method for host devices (like PCs or phones) to know what is being plugged in and what capabilities it should have. It's an interesting solution to the problem of fake USB keys and other potentially compromising devices. The USB group also announced a new standard for delivering digital audio while simultaneously charging; and has rebranded its USB 3.2 specifications with the 5 Gbps version now called SuperSpeed USB, with 10 and 20 Gbps versions adding the speed after the SuperSpeed designation.
Meanwhile, CableLabs along with NCTA and Cable Europe announced a new 10 gigabits per second technology for cable networks, which it is calling 10G (somewhat confusingly since the terms 4G and 5G are used mostly for wireless connections). This technology is still several years away from being deployed—and the operator representatives I talked to admit that they haven't seen the applications that need it yet (but they note that they started work on today's networks before streaming video and high-resolution computer games were developed). Cable service of up to 1 Gbps is currently available in about 80 percent of the US, the cable group said; nearly all the big cable companies in the US, and many in foreign markets, pledged their support for the 10 Gbps standard.
I've been intrigued by the idea of true wireless charging—the idea that your device could be charging at all times, not just when you plugged it in or placed in on a charging pad. But the technologies involved in what has been called power-at-a-distance are very hard because there's only so much power that can be transferred by relatively low-intensity electromagnetic radio, light, or sound. Still, there were some indications that this technology may be available in some limited real products this year.
Again, this concept is developing more slowly than I would like, but it does seem to be inching forward.
A couple of devices stood out in my mind: Omron was showing a blood pressure monitor that looks like a smartwatch which appears much easier to take everywhere than the older blood-pressure cuffs. Abbott showed its Freestyle Libresystem that makes things easier for diabetics by offering continuous glucose monitoring rather than repeated finger stabs.
These are neat, but I expect that full autonomy—what the industry calls Level 4 for specific situations and Level 5 for vehicles that work in all situations—is further off than many in the industry predict. For the next several years, I expect ADAS (advanced driver assistance services) is where the action is for most consumers.
There was also plenty of action on the show floor with electric vehicles, as almost every car maker wants into the market. I'm not going to go over the details here—others know car technology better than I do—but here's PCMag's look at the coolest and craziest cars at the show and Extreme Tech's look at the best car tech.